German weekend

[chriscol]

Starting of the weekend with a local derby in 1.Bundesliga

Schalke- Bochum: over 2.5, 3 @ 1.89 !! 2 units!!

this is a derby and bochum performed recently very well playing at schalke. Schalke is the better team and on a good run, but Bochum came also back to live recently. they drew 3-3 at Berlin and won 4-3 over Frankfurt.
This would be an over bet for me anyway as Bochum scores somehow in every away game so far and Schalke will also not lay back. But what makes it a 2 unit play is the fact that Bochum s coach made some changes in tactics before the Berlin game. i am not quite sure what they are as the players are still the same , but i read some comments 2 weeks ago about a more offensive, or maybe not so shy attitude. The team seems to mke a change in mind and is now trying to go for it as the "sitting back and hoping for a draw" tactic brought them to last place...any way : games are flying over since then and are very entertaining, so i ll look for the same tonight,

BOL to all

 

[Duckstabber]

I'm glad you're on the over too!

Good luck, sir.

 

[joeyfitzclick]

I'm on it for 2 units, GL :drink:

 

[chriscol]

here we go..gekas scored for bochum and the bochum-away streak continues...2-1 after 48th

 

[chriscol]

Saturday

Regionalliga Nord:

Düsseldorf- Kiel: Düsseldorf -0.5 @ 1.85

Düsseldorf although with some injury problems right now plays solid football and is in 3rd place right now. Kiel is a little bit surprising in the relegation zone, but they havent found their rythm yet. something is wrong with them this year. Home team on a better form should be the winner here.

Lübeck- Berlin: Lübeck -0.5 @ 1.82 !! 2 units!!

Lübeck was one of the pre-season favs for promotion, but were already in a slumping streak. but now they climbing slowly out of it and are back in the promotion race. they are especially strong at home where they score a lot of goals.
Union Berlin on the other hand is moving in opposite direction. They were coming from 4th league and had a great start in the season. This was based on strong defense, a "newcomer - confidence-hype" and a weak schedule.all this has changed now. the defense is not too solid anymore and they play the top teams, which resulted in just 3 pts in last 6 games.

Wuppertal- Leverkusen: Wuppertal -0.5,-1 @ 2.0

mismatch. simple as that.

Regionalliga Süd:

Wehen- Elversberg: Wehen -1 @ 1.88 !! 2 units!!

Wehen is the top team in the league together with Hoffenheim. Both teams playing on a different level than any other team. Elversberg is a midfield team. Should be an easy home win.

München- Hoffenheim: Hoffenheim -0.5 @ 1.89 !! 2 units!!

Same situation here. a clear mismatch, with the away situation giving us a great line.Hoffenheim won 7 of last 9 and an away game should not make much difference for them. in addition they play full strength, while München is playing with a lot of youngsters from their youth team as some of their players are promoted to the "A-team" in 2. Bundesliga as the A-team has injury problems.

 

[chriscol]

1. Bundesliga

Hamburg- München: München -0.5 @ 1.95

München plays different football recently. they have a couple of come-back wins in the league, which shows me a different attitude then before. They have to chase schalke which won already yesterday and is now five points ahead.
Hamburg is still in a big, big slump. ALthough "officially" nobody want to fire the coach there were first rumors coming up during the week that their coach will step back after another loss today. I would not be surprised if Hamburg again does not really show up today to get rid of the coach.
But this factor is just an extra besides the hugh difference in form anyway. Historically, besides last season, München has alway won vs. Hamburg. Their last loss in Hamburg was in the early 80's.

Hannover - Mainz: Hannover -0.5 @1.97

Both teams in the bottom half of the table , but Hannover has shown better form lately. but so far only in away games. They are still without a home win, but that should change against Mainz, which is in last place and place very,very uninsoired football at the moment. it almost looks like they dont believe anymore.

Frankfurt- Dortmund: Dortmund pk @1.96

Dortmund is a strange team. they have trouble getting wins at home , but perform very well away. This has to do with the pressure they get from their home fans i think. Today they are facing a frankfurt team, which is slumping a bit and has some injury problems at the moment. Should be at least a draw witha good chance of a win.

Wolfsburg- Nürnberg: Wolfsburg pk @1.75 and under 2,2.5 @ 1.862

Right now Wolfsburg has the best defense in the league. Based on that they are on a run at the moment as they also started to score (at least once a game). They dont have the fire power to bring this over the total, but certainly can shut out Nürnberg, which has also trouble on offense.
I play it only at pk as a 0-0 is always possible with Wolfsburg in alow scoring game.


i know i ve unusual many 2 unit plays, but i really like those regionalliga games and you have to take them as they come.

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

solid 6-2 yesterday

on to sunday

2. Bundesliga:

Freiburg- Offenbach: Under 2.5,3 @ 1.85

Freiburg is a low scoring machine. no offensive power and strong defense.i dont expect that to change today. Offenbach is in the relegation zone due to their weak defense. they will have problems to score today.
The line has moved in some places to 2.5, where it is still a play.

Aue- Paderborn: Aue -0.5 @ 1.94

AUe playing solid football right now and is a confident team. Paderborn has some problems right now and came back to mids of the table after a good stretch over last month. this is mainly due to big injury problems. for today s match they are missing 5 starting players due to injury and suspension.

Regionalliga Süd:

Reutlingen- Kaiserslautern: Reutlingen -0.5,-1 @ 2.05

Reutlingen is a solid mid-table team and has lost only one home game this season.Kaiserslautern got only 6 pts from 17 games and is in last place. therefore i like my odds very much with the home win.

1. Bundesliga

Stuttgart- Gladbach: Stuttgart -1 @ 1.95

this seems to be too easy and although it might be closer than the standings suggest i just cannot pass this line.
Stuttgart is right now one of the top teams in league, while Gladbach is slumping big time. They have complete chaos around the club right now and havent won away since ages. it s a mismatch on neutral ground already, home/away stats only increase the diff and recent form points in diff directions.

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

rediculous line move:

adding 1 unit

Aue -0.5 @ 2.23

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

after a 9-3 weekend, now:

1. Bundesliga 33 - 29 +4.021 units
2. Bundesliga 21 - 20 + 2.584 units
Regionalliga 32 - 18 +15.61 units

Total 86 - 67 +22.215 units